Sunday, December 11, 2011

WEEKLY REVIEW


JAY SWAMINARAYAN

We said      Nifty will be traded with negative bias below 5030 and it would be decline towards 4940 – 4850.      We suggested    Strategy:   Open short below 5030 with stop loss 5120 for target 4940 – 4850.  [ We give 60 % to this Probability ]

Nifty traded expected after opened weak. In first half of week Nifty made high of 5100 but it failed to sustain above 5080 and declined very sharp below 5030 in 2nd half. Finally it took support at 4840 thus it achieved our both down side target. Nifty lost 183 points ( - 3.63 % ) and closed in red.

                                 For This Week  

We expect between 4850 – 4760 Nifty should finds good support and if it succeeds to take support around these levels than it might give some bounce. But Once Nifty sustains below 4760 than we will see new low in upcoming 2-3 weeks. Nifty will be traded with negative bias below 4850 and it would be decline towards 4760 – 4670. Other hand above 4850 Nifty will be traded with positive bias and it would be tries to test 4940 – 5030.  Nifty should find 1st Sup. at 4810 – 4760 & 2nd Sup. at 4720 – 4670 and Nifty should find 1st Res. At 4900 – 4940 & 2nd Res. At 4990 – 5030.
Be cautious and trade carefully because of the current Global and Domestic precarious situation Hence we expect volatility to remain in the market.

Strategy:

[1]  Open short below 4850 with stop loss 4940 for target 4760 – 4670.  [ We give 60 % to this Probability ]

[2]  Open long above 5030 with stop loss 4850 for target 4940 – 5030.   [ We give 40 % to this Probability ]

NIFTY :: OP = 5036.50 , HI = 5099.25 , LO = 4841.75 , CL = 4866.70

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